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BoE’s Breeden: Some evidence of activity weakening, but we expect it to pick up again

For your consideration by For your consideration
January 10, 2025
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BoE’s Breeden: Some evidence of activity weakening, but we expect it to pick up again
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Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member and Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Sarah Breeden noted that it might finally be time for the BoE to start loosening policy rates now that UK economic data has effectively begun to crumble.

Key highlights

There is some tentative evidence that activity is starting to weaken, though we expect it to pick up again.

Important questions as I look ahead are what shocks explains the recent slowdown in activity and how will employers respond to higher employment costs.

Recent evidence further supports the case to withdraw policy restrictiveness.

Inflation has fallen materially in last year.

It is difficult to know how quickly to remove the restrictive policy.

Upside CPI scenarios are no longer core consideration.

I expect the bank rate to come down over time.

Evidence supports gradual removal of restriction.

What is key for the BoE is how the rest of the world reacts to Trump.

The bank rate will be coming down; the question is pace.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

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Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member and Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Sarah Breeden noted that it might finally be time for the BoE to start loosening policy rates now that UK economic data has effectively begun to crumble.

Key highlights

There is some tentative evidence that activity is starting to weaken, though we expect it to pick up again.

Important questions as I look ahead are what shocks explains the recent slowdown in activity and how will employers respond to higher employment costs.

Recent evidence further supports the case to withdraw policy restrictiveness.

Inflation has fallen materially in last year.

It is difficult to know how quickly to remove the restrictive policy.

Upside CPI scenarios are no longer core consideration.

I expect the bank rate to come down over time.

Evidence supports gradual removal of restriction.

What is key for the BoE is how the rest of the world reacts to Trump.

The bank rate will be coming down; the question is pace.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

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