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Bitcoin Power-Law model points to 40% gain in Metaplanet stock – Here’s why

For your consideration by For your consideration
May 29, 2025
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Bitcoin Power-Law model points to 40% gain in Metaplanet stock – Here’s why
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Japanese “Bitcoin-first” firm Metaplanet just lifted its treasury to 7,800 BTC (≈$842 million) after a $50 million purchase. It has now overtaken El Salvador as Asia’s largest corporate holder.

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On X, Metaplanet investor TakaAnikuni applied a power-law fit that links a company’s BTC-denominated Net Asset Value (BTC NAV) to its equity market cap:

For today’s stack, the model outputs an mNAV multiple of 3.75-4.0, while Metaplanet’s site quotes 3.25, implying the stock trades 15-20 % below power-law “fair value”. The table he published shows the multiple compressing as holdings scale, mirroring Strategy’s trajectory, where size dampens premium.

Bottom line: Anikuni’s framework offers a quantifiable undervaluation thesis and a handy lookup table that could resonate with both equity and crypto-native audiences as Metaplanet races toward five-digit BTC holdings.

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